32 ( +1 | -1 ) Improvement or luck?I got a 1200 rating performance in one OTB chess tournament and just last weekend I got a 1800+ rating performance. Is this just luck? Or substantial improvement? I can show you guys some games, there a few months apart (the tournaments) If I could get some feedback that will be very much appreciated.
141 ( +1 | -1 ) Performance ratings in OTB.........have to be taken in context. They are really more of a measure of the strength of the field, and your performance vs. that field. It is a measure of your strength during a particular event, not necessarily your true, "average" rating. For example: Last weekend I played an OTB tourney, and I had a 1402 OTB rating go into it. I took a buddy along with me, who was unrated as this was his first ever OTB tourney. We are of roughly the same strength. In a four round Swiss, I scored 2/4. I beat a 1580, lost to a 1480, drew a 1530, and drew a 1780. My performance rating was around 1550. My unrated friend scored 3/4. He beat a 1580, beat a 1540, lost to a 1950, and beat a 1500. His performance rating was 1775. As he does not have as much history as I do (his 4 rated games vs. my approx. 100 rated games), his performance rating was much higher than mine as he faced a stronger field than I did. I don't know how many rated OTB games you have under our belt - but if the number is relatively low and the two fields you faced in the tournaments you mentioned had very disparate ratings ranges - you will find huge swings in your performance rating. 600+ points sounds to me like somewhat of a statistical anomoly. I hope this helps you out (I just realized that I have thoroughly confused myself:)
130 ( +1 | -1 ) Bunta ...Not to be discouraging, but simply honest ... results can vary wildly, especially in shorter events. My peak performance rating (ever) in a Quad with 3 masters was about 2575, draw and two wins. (vs a low expert rating at the time, maybe 2068 after the event) Doesnt happen everyday tho~! My worst I lost 86 Elo points in one event! (that off of a 1900's rating. ... Dont direct and play too I guess). I think you have a good idea that a review and analysis of the games may be the better determinant of improvement. ...which can easily come from avoiding just several bad moves per game too, since that is all it takes, or even One, to completely ruin a good effort. To use stats to make the determination, I think you would need a large Sample to be really meaningful.
Still, You probably Have improved much tho. After starting Postal Chess, my otb went up 400 points to that Expert rating , from the 1700's. Do you find yourself able to play the openings better or faster? And/or the endgames? Those are where my major gains came in from Corr play, being transferred to otb. If I were you , I would assume it IS improvement and carry that confidence into the next tournament. Now you Know you Can perform at that level .... time to start SEEKING it !~
25 ( +1 | -1 ) OOPS I lied :(Now I see it was a LOSS and 2 wins ... for a typically weird 2441.666 peak performance. Well it figures. I'm quiting Chess now! My whole career has been built on a lie! ...
Then again Kasparov with a headcold would beat me on either day so ... maybe its not so different.